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Independent Baseball Analysis Sat, August 1, 2026
Called Third

2026 ABS challenge data. Who's challenging, how often the call gets overturned, and how much each overturn was worth (the count matters — a 3-2 overturn is worth ~5× a 1-0). Catchers overturn ~59% of their challenges vs ~48% for batters — the best challengers are catchers. One honest caveat as you sort: at a handful of challenges each, individual win rates are mostly small-sample luck — the durable edge is the catcher’s seat, not any one player — why winning a challenge is close to a coin flip. Challenge metrics →

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Live tracker · Independently cross-verified (3 rounds)

The Walk Spike

Walks are up roughly +0.50 percentage points in 2026 vs. the same calendar window in 2025 — and just +0.34pp over the most recent stretch. The spike is fading. The new zone’s mechanism (the lost top-edge first-pitch strike) replicates cleanly, but at the break its share of the spike (≈18%) can no longer be separated from zero — pitchers adapting explain most of the rest.

Live weekly trajectory live · nightly

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2026 weekly walk rate (red) extends each week as the season progresses. The 2025 dashed line is a fixed reference for the same calendar weeks. Updated nightly.

Read the full analysis: The Walk Spike Is Fading →